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What a screening run
actually looks like

Candidates enter at the left. Each gate asks one question, and the ideas that answer it move on to the next. What reaches the right is a short list you can trust, because every idea on it has earned its place seven times over.

Read the methodology for what each gate tests, or the research insights for what each one taught us.

Candidates that pass, per 1,000

The shape of a screening run. Illustrative.

  1. 00Candidates
    1000

    Ideas entering the screen

  2. 01Causality
    −18982

    Could the signal have read a bar it could not have seen live?

  3. 02Edge vs. noise
    −872110

    Is the average trade clearly above zero: over enough trades, not carried by a handful of sessions, and after counting every idea screened here?

  4. 03Drift null
    −5852

    Does it beat random entries with the same trade count, hold and long/short mix?

  5. 04Walk-forward
    −3121

    Does it hold on sessions the selection never saw?

  6. 05Mirror test
    −1011

    Does the opposite trade, taken on the same bars, do clearly worse?

  7. 06Cost
    −65

    Does the edge clear real per-fill commission and slippage, with room to spare?

  8. 07Era split
    5

    Did it also pay in the years before the sample it was judged on? Reported on survivors; it never decides a verdict.