Wednesday, March 4, 2026 Backtest
Backtest: the strategies re-run afterwards over this day's data, never recorded live. It overlaps the research that selected them, so it carries hindsight.
8 trades on NQ, 6 winners
Day's net
+$1,515
All strategies, after costs
Trades
8
6 won, 2 lost
The market that day
- Private companies added 63,000 jobs in February, January revised to just 11,000 additions, ADP says
A stronger-than-expected private payrolls report eased worries about a slowing labor market, supporting a risk-on move in ES and NQ.
CNBC
- Treasury Secretary Bessent says U.S. will make 'series of announcements' to support oil trade in the Gulf
Signs the government would act to keep oil flowing through the Persian Gulf eased fears of an Iran-conflict-driven energy shock, calming the worries that had pressured futures.
CNBC
- Bessent says global 15% tariff starts this week, predicts Trump duties will return to old levels later this year
Confirming the near-term tariff hike but framing it as temporary reduced policy uncertainty that had been weighing on index futures.
CNBC
News picked by AI from that day’s reporting; links go to the original stories. The trades and figures come straight from our engine.
The trades
- Breadth Rotation
long NQ · 10:30 → 10:45 · Stop
−$2,020
−100.50 pts
- Triple Relative Strength
long NQ · 10:30 → 14:00 · Time exit
+$1,055
+53.25 pts
- Day & Night Relay
long NQ · 10:30 → 15:00 · Time exit
+$985
+49.75 pts
- Flow Against Breadth
long NQ · 10:30 → 15:30 · Time exit
+$230
+12.00 pts
- Global Confluence
long NQ · 10:30 → 15:30 · Time exit
+$230
+12.00 pts
- Crude Crosscurrent
long NQ · 10:30 → 16:00 · Time exit
−$395
−19.25 pts
- Late-Morning Momentum
long NQ · 11:00 → 15:45 · Time exit
+$730
+37.00 pts
- Breadth Rotation
long NQ · 12:30 → 13:00 · Time exit
+$700
+35.50 pts
How to read it: every strategy enters at the close of a 30-minute bar and leaves at its stop, its target, or its time exit, whichever comes first. Points are the move captured; net is one contract after two ticks of costs (NQ $20 a point, ES $50).