Thursday, March 12, 2026 Backtest
Backtest: the strategies re-run afterwards over this day's data, never recorded live. It overlaps the research that selected them, so it carries hindsight.
8 trades on NQ, 2 winners
Day's net
−$4,540
All strategies, after costs
Trades
8
2 won, 6 lost
The market that day
- Three more ships struck in the Persian Gulf as Iran warns of oil prices hitting $200
Fresh attacks on shipping near the Strait of Hormuz sent oil sharply higher, fueling the risk-off selling that pressured ES and NQ.
CNBC
- Iran strikes neutralise record IEA reserves release as oil tops $100
Oil extended its surge even after the IEA's biggest-ever reserve release, deepening the inflation worries that pushed stock futures lower.
Euronews
- Markets' hopes for Fed interest rate cuts are rapidly fading away
Traders pushed out expectations for Fed rate cuts as oil-driven inflation fears grew, adding another drag on equity futures.
CNBC
News picked by AI from that day’s reporting; links go to the original stories. The trades and figures come straight from our engine.
The trades
- Breadth Rotation
short NQ · 10:30 → 10:46 · Stop
−$1,700
−84.50 pts
- Day & Night Relay
short NQ · 10:30 → 10:46 · Stop
−$1,770
−88.00 pts
- Global Confluence
short NQ · 10:30 → 12:22 · Stop
−$2,355
−117.25 pts
- Triple Relative Strength
short NQ · 10:30 → 14:00 · Time exit
−$175
−8.25 pts
- Flow Against Breadth
long NQ · 10:30 → 15:30 · Time exit
−$40
−1.50 pts
- Crude Crosscurrent
short NQ · 10:30 → 16:00 · Time exit
+$1,230
+62.00 pts
- Late-Morning Momentum
short NQ · 11:00 → 15:45 · Time exit
+$730
+37.00 pts
- Breadth Rotation
short NQ · 12:30 → 13:00 · Time exit
−$460
−22.50 pts
How to read it: every strategy enters at the close of a 30-minute bar and leaves at its stop, its target, or its time exit, whichever comes first. Points are the move captured; net is one contract after two ticks of costs (NQ $20 a point, ES $50).