Wednesday, August 19, 2026 Backtest
Backtest: the strategies re-run afterwards over this day's data, never recorded live. It overlaps the research that selected them, so it carries hindsight.
8 trades on NQ, 4 winners
Day's net
−$3,720
All strategies, after costs
Trades
8
4 won, 4 lost
The market that day
- Fed minutes July 2026: Officials saw need for rate hike if inflation doesn't cool
Minutes showing several Fed officials open to another rate hike added rate-path uncertainty, pressuring ES and NQ in the afternoon.
CNBC
- Bessent Deploys Debt Buybacks in Sign of Concern Over Yield Rise
A surprise doubling of long-bond buybacks pulled Treasury yields lower, which lifted ES and NQ before the open.
Bloomberg
- Moderna's and Merck's personalized mRNA vaccine shows real promise against deadly skin cancer melanoma in late stage trial and sends stocks soaring
Moderna's stock more than doubled on the vaccine data, a sharp single-name swing that added volatility to the Nasdaq-heavy NQ contract.
Fortune
- Trump touted a deal to avert new tariffs on Canada. Here's what we know so far
A last-minute pause on new Canada tariffs eased a trade-war worry that had been weighing on both ES and NQ.
CNBC
News picked by AI from that day’s reporting; links go to the original stories. The trades and figures come straight from our engine.
The trades
- Breadth Rotation
short NQ · 10:30 → 10:39 · Stop
−$1,455
−72.25 pts
- Flow Against Breadth
short NQ · 10:30 → 10:53 · Stop
−$1,990
−99.00 pts
- Global Confluence
short NQ · 10:30 → 10:53 · Stop
−$1,990
−99.00 pts
- Triple Relative Strength
short NQ · 10:30 → 10:55 · Stop
−$2,360
−117.50 pts
- Day & Night Relay
long NQ · 10:30 → 15:00 · Time exit
+$1,040
+52.50 pts
- Crude Crosscurrent
long NQ · 10:30 → 16:00 · Time exit
+$770
+39.00 pts
- Breadth Rotation
short NQ · 12:30 → 13:00 · Time exit
+$980
+49.50 pts
- Triple Relative Strength
short NQ · 12:30 → 14:00 · Time exit
+$1,285
+64.75 pts
How to read it: every strategy enters at the close of a 30-minute bar and leaves at its stop, its target, or its time exit, whichever comes first. Points are the move captured; net is one contract after two ticks of costs (NQ $20 a point, ES $50).